The Importance of Being Nuclear: A Quantitative Assessment of Lebanon’s Energy Crisis
Keywords:
Nuclear energy, Energy crisis, Electricity demand, Levelized cost of electricity, Environmental impactAbstract
Since the 2019 crisis, Lebanon has faced a severe electricity crisis that has slowed the country’s development and worsened its economic situation. This study investigates whether nuclear energy could theoretically resolve Lebanon’s electricity crisis and meet national demand. In this paper, the amount of fuel needed to meet the demand was calculated, along with the CO2 emissions, since environmental impact is an important factor. The land area required was also considered, because Lebanon is a small and densely populated country. In addition, an LCOE analysis was carried out to evaluate the economic side, especially since the crisis has already affected the country’s economy. A safety comparison based on death rates was also included. The results of this study show that nuclear energy could be a suitable solution for Lebanon’s electricity crisis, as it can produce a large amount of energy with very little fuel, low CO2 emissions, and relatively small land use. It also fits the country’s situation well. The LCOE analysis shows that it can be a cost-effective, long-term option, and the safety comparison suggests that it is relatively safe. Overall, nuclear energy could significantly improve Lebanon’s energy situation if the right safety measures are taken.
References
America’s Power. (2025). Understanding the true cost of replacing existing coal plants with new renewables. https://americaspower.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Understanding-the-True-Cost-of-Replacing-Existing-Coal-Dec-2025-2.pdf
Bartlett, J. (2019). What are the costs and values of wind and solar power? How are they changing? Resources for the Future. https://www.resources.org/common-resources/what-are-costs-and-values-wind-and-solar-power-how-are-they-changing/
Burnard, K., Jiang, J., Li, B., Brunet, G., & Bauer, F. (2014). Emissions reduction through upgrade of coal-fired power plants: Learning from Chinese experience. International Energy Agency. https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/9ed014cf-ed30-44a0-a1d4-7a112506c6df/PartnerCountrySeriesEmissionsReductionthroughUpgradeofCoalFiredPowerPlants.pdf
Business Norway. (2025). Carbon footprint of a wind turbine: A life cycle assessment. https://businessnorway.com/articles/carbon-footprint-of-a-wind-turbine-a-life-cycle-assessment
Business Norway. (2026). Wind turbines and energy production. https://businessnorway.com/articles/wind-turbines-and-energy-production
Cabrera, G. (n.d.). What is the carbon footprint of nuclear power? A life cycle assessment. Impactful Ninja. https://impactful.ninja/the-carbon-footprint-of-nuclear-power
Coal. (2026). In Wikipedia. Retrieved August 25, 2026, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coal
Coldwell Energy. (n.d.). How much investment do you need for a solar farm? https://coldwellenergy.com/how-much-investment-do-you-need-for-a-solar-farm/
ConverDyn. (n.d.). Uranium conversion—All you wanted to know [Presentation slides]. World Nuclear University. https://world-nuclear-university.org/SummerInsituteFiles/WNU_V2_2025_916ce350.pdf
Das, M. (2025). Will Energy Fuels’ cost strategy boost its margins in 2026? Yahoo Finance. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/energy-fuels-cost-strategy-boost-155200176.html
Diesel fuel. (2026). In Wikipedia. Retrieved August 25, 2026, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diesel_fuel
Enevoldsen, P., & Jacobson, M. Z. (2021). Data investigation of installed and output power densities of onshore and offshore wind turbines worldwide. Energy for Sustainable Development, 60, 40–51. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esd.2020.11.004
Feng, B. (2023, April 17). Power plant efficiency: Coal, natural gas, nuclear, and more (updated for 2025!). PCI Energy Solutions. https://www.pcienergysolutions.com/2023/04/17/power-plant-efficiency-coal-natural-gas-nuclear-and-more/
Flint Smith, A., Alexander, K., Plazas-Niño, F. A., & Howells, M. (2025). A dataset for climate, land, energy and water systems modelling in Lao PDR. Data in Brief, 63, 112084. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2025.112084
Fowler, R. D. (1957). Process for producing uranium hexafluoride (U.S. Patent No. 2,810,626). U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. https://patents.google.com/patent/US2810626A/en
Giddings, J., Lake, R., & Matthews, C. (2016). Comparing running costs of diesel, LPG and electrical pumpsets [Primefact]. NSW Department of Primary Industries. https://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0011/665660/comparing-running-costs-of-diesel-lpg-and-electrical-pumpsets.pdf
Gold Standard. (2024). Powering the future: New methodology concept for early phase-out of coal plants and a just transition to renewable energy generation. https://www.goldstandard.org/news/powering-the-future-new-methodology-concept-for-early
Greiser, A. (2024). Land requirements for wind turbines during and after construction. EEF. https://eef.de/en/news/land-requirements-for-wind-turbines-during-and-after-construction
Gridinta. (n.d.). How long is the lifespan of a wind turbine & what happens after? https://gridinta.eu/how-long-is-the-lifespan-of-wind-turbines/
Gruver, W. (2025). Cost per MW: Gas turbine and HFO power plants in Africa. USP&E Global. https://uspeglobal.com/articles/cost-per-mw-gas-turbine-hfo-africa/
Home Towne Energy. (2023). How much does diesel fuel weigh per gallon? https://www.hometowneenergy.com/diesel-fuel-weight-per-gallon/
Human Rights Watch. (2023, March 9). “Cut off from life itself”: Lebanon’s failure on the right to electricity. https://www.hrw.org/report/2023/03/09/cut-life-itself/lebanons-failure-right-electricity
IMP Corporation. (n.d.). The lifespan of your diesel generator: How long will it last? https://www.impcorporation.com/blog/the-lifespan-of-your-diesel-generator-how-long-will-it-last
International Atomic Energy Agency. (2021). New IAEA publications highlight importance of seismic safety for nuclear power plants. https://www.iaea.org/newscenter/news/new-iaea-publications-highlight-importance-of-seismic-safety-for-nuclear-power-plants
International Renewable Energy Agency. (2012). Renewable energy technologies: Cost analysis series—Wind power. https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2012/RE_Technologies_Cost_Analysis-WIND_POWER.pdf
International Renewable Energy Agency. (2025). Wind energy. https://www.irena.org/Energy-Transition/Technology/Wind-energy
Jacobson, M. Z. (2025). U.S. land area occupied by the fossil fuel, nuclear, and corn ethanol industries. Stanford University. https://web.stanford.edu/group/efmh/jacobson/Articles/I/LandFossil.pdf
Kaiser, M. J., & Snyder, B. (2012). Modeling the decommissioning cost of offshore wind development on the U.S. Outer Continental Shelf. Marine Policy, 36(1), 153–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2011.04.008
Larsen, L. M., Abou-Jaoude, A., Guaita, N., & Stauff, N. (2024). Nuclear energy cost estimates for Net Zero World Initiative (INL/RPT-23-74378). Idaho National Laboratory. https://inldigitallibrary.inl.gov/content/uploads/50/2026/04/Sort_67418.pdf
Martinez, V., & Desmarais, F. (2011). Nuclear energy: Fact check. Architecture 2030. https://www.architecture2030.org/nuclear-energy-fact-check/
MAVS Open Press. (n.d.). Diesel generators. In Powering large loads. https://uta.pressbooks.pub/poweringlargeloads/chapter/4-diesel-generators/
McHugh, M. (n.d.). What is capacity factor? A beginner’s guide. Makayda Energy. https://makayda.com/blog/what-is-capacity-factor
National Renewable Energy Laboratory. (2022). Land-based wind. Annual Technology Baseline. https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2022/land-based_wind
National Renewable Energy Laboratory. (2024). Utility-scale PV. Annual Technology Baseline. https://atb.nrel.gov/electricity/2024/utility-scale_pv
Nautilus Solar. (2025). How much energy does a solar panel produce? https://nautilussolar.com/blogs/how-much-energy-does-a-solar-panel-produce
Neff, T. (1998). HEU to LEU = U + SWU. Arms Control Association. https://www.armscontrol.org/act/1998-08/features/heu-leu-u-swu
Opoura. (2025). What is the capacity factor of a wind turbine? https://opoura.com/energy-explained-learning-hub/wind-turbine-capacity-factor/
Powertech Energy. (2026). How much land do I need to build a 5 MW solar farm? https://www.powertechenergy.com.au/a/how-much-land-do-i-need-to-build-a-5-mw-solar-farm
Prestige Investment Group. (n.d.). Coal-fired power plant construction costs. https://www.prestigegroupuk.com/en/articles/thermal-energy/coal-fired-power-plant-construction-costs/
Rama University. (n.d.). Power plant engineering: Lecture 20 [Lecture notes]. Faculty of Engineering and Technology. https://www.ramauniversity.ac.in/online-study-material/fet/me/btech/viisemester/powerplantengineering/lecture-20.pdf
Ritchie, H. (2020). Death rates per unit of electricity production [Data visualization]. Our World in Data. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rates-from-energy-production-per-twh
Sajdl, J. (n.d.). Calculation of CO2 emissions. AutoLexicon.net. https://www.autolexicon.net/en/articles/vypocet-emisi-co2/
Shirvan, K. (2024). 2024 total cost projection of next AP1000 (MIT-ANP-TR-201). Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Advanced Nuclear Energy Systems. https://canes.mit.edu/hubfs/ANP201%20TR%20CANES.pdf
SolarTech. (2025). Wind turbine cost guide 2025: Complete pricing breakdown ($700–$20M+). https://solartechonline.com/blog/wind-turbine-cost-guide-2025/
Statista. (2016). Decommissioning costs for power plants in the United States in 2016, by fuel type [Graph]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/828488/decommissioning-costs-for-us-power-plants-by-fuel-type/
Statista. (2026). Capacity factor of coal power plants in the United States from 2010 to 2024 [Graph]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/744947/capacity-factor-of-coal-power-plants-in-the-us-by-unit-type/
Stocks, G., & Weber, J. G. (2026, January 6). What will it cost to decommission solar farms? Estimates suggest $15,000 per acre. Energy & Environment Blog | Pitt GSPIA. https://medium.com/@GSPIAe_eBlog/what-will-it-cost-to-decommission-solar-farms-estimates-suggest-15-000-per-acre-862e88c5445f
Sustainability Directory. (2025). How much land area is required for a nuclear power plant compared to a solar or wind farm of equivalent capacity? [suspicious link removed]
Torres, J. (2025). How long do solar panels last? So Energy. https://www.so.energy/article/how-long-do-solar-panels-last
Trading Economics. (n.d.). Coal. Retrieved August 25, 2026, from https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/coal
Transport Topics. (2025). Diesel price down 2¢ to $3.514 a gallon. https://www.ttnews.com/articles/diesel-price-down-0429
U.S. Department of Energy. (2022). What’s the lifespan for a nuclear reactor? Much longer than you might think. https://www.energy.gov/ne/articles/whats-lifespan-nuclear-reactor-much-longer-you-might-think
U.S. Department of Energy. (2025). Uranium enrichment, explained. https://www.energy.gov/ne/articles/uranium-enrichment-explained
U.S. Department of Energy. (n.d.-a). Nuclear fuel facts: Uranium. https://www.energy.gov/ne/nuclear-fuel-facts-uranium
U.S. Department of Energy. (n.d.-b). Wind energy end-of-service guide. https://www.energy.gov/cmei/systems/windexchange/wind-energy-end-service-guide
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. (2026). Deconversion of depleted uranium. https://www.nrc.gov/materials/fuel-cycle-fac/ur-deconversion
UNEP Copenhagen Climate Centre. (n.d.). Combined-cycle diesel generator [Technology fact sheet]. https://tech-action.unepccc.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2021/09/combined-cycle-diesel-generator.pdf
Wigness, S. (2025). What is the carbon footprint of solar panels? Solar.com. https://www.solar.com/learn/what-is-the-carbon-footprint-of-solar-panels/
World Nuclear Association. (2025). Nuclear fuel cycle overview. https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/introduction/nuclear-fuel-cycle-overview
World Nuclear Association. (2026a). Economics of nuclear power. https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/economic-aspects/economics-of-nuclear-power
World Nuclear Association. (2026b). Storage and disposal of radioactive waste. https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/nuclear-waste/storage-and-disposal-of-radioactive-waste
Yu, S., Wei, Y.-M., Guo, H., & Ding, L. (2014). Carbon emission coefficient measurement of the coal-to-power energy chain in China. Applied Energy, 114, 290–300. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.09.062
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Ghazal Naser (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.